Wednesday, January 22, 2025

 


OWL (Blue Owl Capital) Technical Analysis – January 2025

Current Market Overview:

  • Price: $24.52 (+0.99%)
  • Trend:
    • The stock is trading above the 20-day EMA ($23.45) and the 200-day EMA ($20.26), indicating a strong uptrend.
    • The recent breakout above $24.00 suggests bullish momentum, with a potential test of recent highs at $25.03.

Technical Indicators Analysis:

  1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):

    • Current value: 59.78
    • RSI is approaching the overbought zone but still indicates room for further upside.
    • This suggests continued bullish strength without being overextended.
  2. Implied Volatility (IV):

    • Current IV: 39
    • IV Rank: 69% (relatively high compared to past levels)
    • IV Percentile: 87% (high compared to the past year)
    • Implication: Elevated IV suggests options are relatively expensive, making credit spreads or selling premium strategies more attractive.
  3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

    • The MACD line is turning positive, crossing the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
    • Histogram is showing early signs of strengthening bullish momentum.

Bias:

Bullish.

  • Price action indicates strength with higher highs and higher lows, and the bullish MACD crossover supports further upside.

Friday, January 27, 2023

Shorting Netflix using options trade.

SOLD -1 VERTICAL NFLX 100 17 MAR 23 365/370 CALL @2.47

My breakeven price would be 367.53


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